​​Betting On Late Goals

Everything You Need To Know ​​Betting On Late Goals
Written by, Kristel Gil Sat 26 Nov
Everything You Need To Know ​​Betting On Late Goals
Everything You Need To Know ​​Betting On Late Goals

​​Betting On Late Goals

Late goals are among the newest football trends observed with select teams in some football leagues. Betting on late goals is another trend among punters making wagers on when a player will score a goal, which player could achieve a goal, both teams to score, or which team will score first. As more punters make wagers on late goals, we look at what late goals are and the latest trends in betting on late goals.  

What Are Late Goals?

Late goals are scored late in a game or towards the end of the game. Late goals are essential in football because they can give teams an edge in scoring at crucial moments in a game. If a team scores a goal late in fun, it becomes difficult for the opponents to return in the remaining time. Alternatively, behind teams can come back and avoid defeat by scoring late goals. Generally, goals scored from the 75th minute to the 90th minute are considered late goals. Goals in added time after the 90th minute are late goals. Goals scored in the extra time may or may not be late goals. Consider Manchester United between 1999 and 2009. The team under Alex Ferguson, with players such as Giggs, Scholes, Beckham, Ferdinand, Ronaldo, Rooney, etc., consistently scored several late goals across games. Most of the team’s goals came in the second half of fun, with most late goals scored after the 80th minute of regulation time.

Trends On Betting On Late Goals

Some of the key trends and metrics punters need to consider are the following:


One of the critical reasons late goals play an important role is because, towards the end of a game, teams are tired, and fatigue starts to set in. A team scoring a late goal can be a double whammy for the opposition with limited time and energy. Managers utilize substitutions to keep players on the pitch fresh and incorporate a different play style or strategy. Fatigue can also occur when teams or clubs have several games lined up quickly. Team fatigue can result in a drop in form or less intense play towards the end of a league season or tournament.

Late Goals And Substitutions

In some cases, managers make substitutions based on securing a 1-0 result by taking off a key striker or attacker in place of a defensive player. However, after the substitution, the team concedes a goal anyway, ending in a 1-1 draw. If the game goes on to extra time or penalty shootouts, the team that took off the player will be at a disadvantage. Mistimed substitutions and late goals can harm a team’s performance making a football manager’s job critical.

High-Scoring Clubs

Punters generally make wagers on late goals on clubs with a high goal-scoring record. For example, punters generally make wagers on Liverpool or Manchester City in the Premier League, Barcelona or Real Madrid in La Liga, Juventus or Inter Milan in Serie A, etc. However, punters must also consider a team’s form and the opponents they face. If a team is inconsistent, making a wager on a late goal may prove an unprofitable strategy. Alternatively, if two top teams play against each other, the strong defenses of each squad may cancel each other out.

Historical Data

Punters have access to historical football and match data such as goals scored, players scored and achieved a goal during a match. Such data helps punters gauge the frequency of goals scored by particular players, teams, clubs, or countries and the probability of the team scoring late goals. Punters can use R, Python, or Excel to process and analyze football data after downloading metrics from verified sources. Verified data sources include FIFA.com, Premierleague.com, and other official platforms.


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